What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?

What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Glossary
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What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Causal relationship forecasting   Forecasting using independent variables other than time to predict future demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR)   An Internet tool to coordinate forecasting, production, and purchasing in a firm’s supply chain.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Decomposition   The process of identifying and separating time series data into fundamental components such as trend and seasonality.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Exponential smoothing   A time series forecasting technique using weights that decrease exponentially (1 – α) for each past period.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Forecast error   The difference between actual demand and what was forecast.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Linear regression forecasting   A forecasting technique that fits a straight line to past demand data.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Mean absolute deviation (MAD)   The average of the absolute value of the actual forecast error.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Mean absolute percent error (MAPE)   The average error measured as a percentage of average demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Moving Average   A forecast based on average past demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Smoothing constant alpha (α)   The parameter in the exponential smoothing equation that controls the speed of reaction to differences between forecasts and actual demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Smoothing constant delta (δ)   An additional parameter used in an exponential smoothing equation that includes an adjustment for trend.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Strategic forecasts   Medium and long-term forecasts that are used for decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Tactical forecasts   Short-term forecasts used for making day-to-day decisions related to meeting demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Time series analysis   A forecast in which past demand data is used to predict future demand.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Tracking signal   A measure of whether the forecast is keeping pace with any genuine upward or downward changes in demand. This is used to detect forecast bias.
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
What type of forecasts are used for forecast decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand?
Weighted moving average   A forecast made with past data where more recent data is given more significance than older data.

Medium and long-term forecasts that are used for decisions related to strategy and aggregate demand. Short-term forecasts used for making day-to-day decisions related to meeting demand.

What type of forecast is used for day to day decision making?

Short term forecasting is daily up to months in the future. These forecasts are used for operational decision making such as inventory planning, ordering and scheduling of the workforce.

Which of the four basic types of forecasting assumes that data about past demand can be used to predict future demand?

Passive demand forecasting is the simplest type. In this model, you use sales data from the past to predict the future.
Time series analysis - Based on the idea that data relating to past demand can be used to predict future demand. Causal forecasting - Assumes that demand is related to some underlying factor or factors in the environment.