What is the difference in turnout comparing mid term elections and presidential elections?

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journal article

Partisan Turnout Bias in Midterm Legislative Elections

Legislative Studies Quarterly

Vol. 27, No. 3 (Aug., 2002)

, pp. 407-421 (15 pages)

Published By: Washington University

https://doi.org/10.2307/3598570

https://www.jstor.org/stable/3598570

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Abstract

Lower salience elections present greater opportunities for representational bias at the polls than do elections with higher levels of political interest. We hypothesize that turnout bias is most likely to occur during midterm congressional elections in which there are clear short-term forces that exploit the low turnout setting. The effects of these forces are more likely to be observable among registered nonvoters than citizens who are not registered to vote because registrants have access to the polls and are likely to have voted in previous presidential contests. Using midterm National Election Study data from 1978 to 1998, we find that registered nonvoters are frequently more Democratic than midterm election voters, particularly in 1994 and 1998. The historic 1994 congressional election seat losses for Democrats may be partially explained by the finding that voters going to the polls were clearly more conservative than registered nonvoters.

Journal Information

The Legislative Studies Quarterly is an international journal devoted to the publication of research on representative assemblies. Its purpose is to disseminate scholarly work on parliaments and legislatures, their relations to other political institutions, their functions in the political system, and the activities of their members both within the institution and outside. Contributions are invited from scholars in all countries. The pages of the Quarterly are open to all research approaches consistent with the normal canons of scholarship, and to work on representative assemblies in all settings and all time periods. The aim of the journal is to contribute to the formulation and verification of general theories about legislative systems, processes, and behavior. The editors encourage contributors to emphasize the cross-national implications of their findings, even if these findings are based on research within a single country. The Legislative Studies Quarterly is the official journal of the Legislative Studies Section of the American Political Science Association.

Publisher Information

Washington University creates an environment to encourage and support an ethos of wide-ranging exploration. Washington University’s faculty and staff strive to enhance the lives and livelihoods of students, the people of the greater St. Louis community, the country and the world.

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Why it matters

Current time:0:00Total duration:1:15

Why it matters

Video transcript

- [Interviewer] How does voter turnout in midterms compare to presidential elections? - Traditionally, midterm elections have been years in which the voter turnout is much lower than a presidential election, and particularly in recent history where the American political scene has been really dominated by the president. We can start that really with John F. Kennedy, when he became a celebrity president and really everybody increasingly has just sort of seen American political activity originating and swirling around a president. And so if they're interested in the president, well, they turn out for the presidential election. But in the off-year elections, in the midterms, well, the president's not really on the ballot even if some people tend to see the elections as a referendum on his presidency. So people turn out in lower numbers. We've also seen a trend, and it may be upturned in 2018, but a trend where Republican voters, who tend to be older, participate in the voting in midterm elections more than younger voters, who tend to vote Democratic, or voters of color, who vote for the Democratic Party as well. That's always been one of the challenges for Democrats, to get their team to turn out and vote in these midterm elections.

Which type of election has the highest voter turnout?

Voter turnout in United States presidential elections has historically been higher than the turnout for midterm elections.

How is the presidential election different from other elections?

In other U.S. elections, candidates are elected directly by popular vote. But the president and vice president are not elected directly by citizens. Instead, they are chosen by “electors” through a process called the Electoral College. The process of using electors comes from the Constitution.

What is the average turnout for presidential election?

For people whose income was $100,000-$149,999, turnout was 81.0%, while for people whose income was $30,000-$39,999, turnout was 63.6%. Despite COVID-19 concerns, 155 million people turned out for the 2020 presidential election.

Why is voter turnout higher in presidential elections than midterm elections quizlet?

Voter turnout is higher in presidential elections than in mid-term elections because people feel that presidential elections are more important because the president is the most visible political figure in the US.